Blog Posts

Irish Polling Indicator: Labour support doubles in two months

Support for the Labour party has increased from 5% early June to 10% early August, the Irish Polling Indicator finds. The IPI pools information from all national Irish party opinion polls to arrive at what is arguably the best estimate of the parties’ current standings. Fine Gael comes out on top with 24%, but because of the uncertainty margin all opinion polls have, Independents/Others on 23% or Sinn Féin on 21.5% might also be in the lead. Fianna Fáil lags somewhat behind on 19%.

Independents take top spot in Irish Polling Indicator

Independents and smaller parties have seen their electoral support increased over the last two months. They now top the Irish Polling Indicator, which combines all national election polls into one estimate of party support. Independents now score between 25.7% and 31%, followed by Sinn Féin at 21.5-25.7% and Fine Gael at 20.1%-24.2%. The largest government party has been on a downward slope in the polls since mid-February, while Sinn Féin has seen an increase in public support since the beginning of this year. These trends seem to continue after the May local and European elections.

Note: the last Red C poll does not provide separate estimates for the Green Party and Others, therefore the OTH and GP line end in April.

Pooling Irish Opinion Polls: Introducing the Irish Polling Indicator